"This one is up for grabs for sharps and recreational bettors. The home-field advantage at Arrowhead is real, as another classic showdown is likely in the cards. This is often a situation where the team off a blowout win gets hyped up. Then you have a Kansas City team that won a close Monday Night Football game against a divisional opponent. "The Bills have the super-revenge angle but are off a blowout win. "There are several conflicting betting angles in the game, he said. Some bettors are forgoing the 2.5 points and instead taking Kansas City to win outright at +125 for a better payout.īut as Manica noted, there’s a lot to unpack. In fact, this is the first time Mahomes is a home underdog in his career. Indeed, it’s rare for the Chiefs to be an underdog, and even more so a home underdog. "Fast-forward to the rematch, and both teams look like they are the class of the AFC. I am not sure if we have fully recovered from it," Manica said. "Pain ensued when Kansas City pulled off the miracle field goal and won in overtime. With a different coin-toss outcome, WynnBet’s risk room might have gotten the outcome it sought. What Manica means by that: WynnBet took a position on that game in which it needed a Buffalo road victory, or at least for the Bills to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. "The WynnBet mantra in 2021 was nobody circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills, and our trading room booked toward them all week leading up to the classic last season." "There is a lot to unpack in this game," WynnBet trader John Manica said. And in this instance, they return to Kansas City as 2.5-point road favorites rather than 2.5-point underdogs, as was the case in January. Then the Chiefs won the coin toss and drove right down the field to win, 42-36. That left just 13 seconds on the clock.īut Mahomes quickly maneuvered the Chiefs into position for a 39-yard field goal, tying it at 36 to force overtime. followed just 52 seconds later with a touchdown to move ahead, 33-29.Ī mere 49 seconds later, the Bills put up another TD to nab a 36-33 lead. To recount: Josh Allen led Buffalo to a touchdown and 2-point conversion with 1:54 remaining, giving the Bills a 29-26 lead. In the AFC Divisional Playoffs last season, the Bills and Chiefs fought to a 36-36 draw in regulation after an insane final two minutes at Arrowhead Stadium.
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